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Mono is King 01-Jan 2023 Sunday 3:50 PM (692 days ago)
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Mono is King 01-Jan 2023 Sunday 3:51 PM (692 days ago)            #2
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This message was edited by Mono is King on 01-Jan-2023 at 3:52 PM



 
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  		谢谢分享



 
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  		03:45 法甲 朗斯 VS 巴黎圣日尔曼
周日法甲【朗斯 VS 巴黎圣日尔曼】



朗斯：

要说本赛季法甲赛场上最令人感到意外的球队，毫无疑问非朗斯莫属，要知道他们三年前还只是一支法乙球队，但来到法甲之后，便一跃成为欧战竞争者之一，过去两个赛季均拿到了联赛第七的不错排名，本赛季更是顺风顺水，以11胜4平1负的强悍战绩力压一众强队，高居法甲第2位，紧跟法甲豪门大巴黎身后，堪称本赛季最大的黑马。朗斯本赛季之所以会如此强劲，在于他们引进了多名后场人员，着重加强了球队的防守能力，目前他们的防守能力与大巴黎并列法甲最强，甚至有的时候场上表现还要更胜一筹，同时半场传控反击也是打得风生水起，如此稳定的表现下，此番又有主场之利的加成，朗斯值得期待。



巴黎圣日尔曼：

大巴黎目前16轮联赛过后依旧保持着不败金身，以领先7分的较大优势领跑法甲积分榜，若不出意外本届的法甲冠军依旧会被大巴黎垄断，毕竟球队的阵容实在太豪华了，不仅有内马尔这位大杀器，还有第三代球王梅西，还有未来球王姆巴佩，简直羡煞众人，不过值得一提的是，梅西目前还在度假中，暂时还会缺席本场赛事，而内马尔上轮联赛则不幸染红，此役将会停赛，所以这场比赛大巴黎的整体战斗力是要打点折扣的。



综合分析：

总的来说，虽然大巴黎在整体实力方面更胜一筹，不过朗斯也并非毫无胜算，毕竟他们有着极强的防守本领，此役又有主场之利的加成，另外还有一点就是他们过去在交锋历史上也曾多次逼平过巴黎，上赛季就曾主客场均战平大巴黎，所以对付大巴黎，朗斯其实还是有一套心得的，在如今对手阵容不齐整的情况下，朗斯只要立足于防守，未尝不能守住一分。本场比赛数据方面对大巴黎也有看衰之意，后期走势有明显示弱地意思，整体形势对于朗斯更为有利，所以综合分析之下，此战不妨看好朗斯不败。



赛事方向：朗斯不败



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  		朗斯
【有利】
1、战意：暂列积分榜次席，有机会争夺欧冠席位，为捍卫目前排名，战意强烈；
2、状态：算上热身赛的话，目前各项赛事已连续9场不败，期间获胜8场，竞技状态正值巅峰；
3、走势：过去8场赛事由7场顺利跑出数据，目前整体走势很好；
4、防守：过去9场赛事由5次保持零封，本赛季合计只有10个失球，防守质量乃法甲最强；
5、主场：联赛至今8战全胜，主场威力乃目前法甲最强；
6、交锋：过去4次与大巴黎交手只输过1次，上赛季两次交锋均逼平对手。
【不利】
1、进攻：上轮联赛没能取得进球，本赛季至今合计收获26球，进攻能力仅属于中游水准；
2、过人：本赛季场均只有6.3次成功过人，过人能力乃法甲倒数水平；
3、伤病：前锋布克萨、前腰科斯塔、中场卡伯特、门将法尼内斯目前均有伤在身，阵容受损。

巴黎圣日尔曼
【有利】
1、战意：暂列积分榜第一，领先身后球队7分，需抢分捍卫榜首，抢分欲望强烈；
2、状态：过去10场各项赛事保持全胜，目前竞技状态正值巅峰；
3、客场：联赛至今客场依然保持不败金身，期间8战7胜，客场战斗力很强；
4、进攻：目前联赛已经斩获45粒进球，锋线火力乃法甲最强；
5、配合：赛季至今全队已合计刷出33次助攻，乃法甲最多，团队配合能力很强；
6、传控：本赛季场均控球率高达61%，传球成功率高达91%，控场能力乃法甲最强；
7、防守：联赛至今合计只有10个失球，防守质量乃全联盟最好；
8、过人：本赛季场均有10.1次成功过人，过人能力乃法甲最强；
9、阵容：坐拥梅西、姆巴佩、内马尔三大球星，其中前两人还同时闯进世界杯决赛，阵容星光熠熠.
【不利】
1、伤停：梅西目前还在休假当中，中卫 金彭贝、后腰佩雷拉、左后卫努诺等球员仍有伤在身，阵容受损。



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  		澳洲甲推荐：攻守均衡的墨尔本城，本轮有望再添一场胜利

惠灵顿凤凰：

惠灵顿凤凰近几年都混迹于澳洲甲中游，本赛季暂以2胜5平2负的战绩排名第7，距离争冠附加资格仅一步距离。球队凭借不俗的前场攻击力往往能先开记录，但本赛季已多次在领先的大好局面之下被对手翻盘，这对球队的士气或多或少都会有点打击。目前积11分排名第7位，本场比赛若能顺利拿下则有机会能冲进前四，因此球队上下对这一场胜利将无比渴望。

墨尔本城：

作为澳洲甲的老牌劲旅，本赛季的墨尔本城延续了上赛季的良好状态，目前依然高居联赛榜首，与第2名也拉开了4分的差距，榜首位置非常稳妥。球队攻防整体均衡，攻击能力在联赛中出类拔萃，防守也固若金汤，本赛季目前仅失了6个球，失球数为联赛最少。

双方在过去5场历史交锋中，墨尔本城以3胜2平的不败姿态占据了心理上的优势，考虑到双方同样不俗的攻击能力，本场比赛预计会展开一场对攻大战。考虑到墨尔本城强悍的防守，个人认为墨尔本城可能在本场对决中笑到最后，全取3分继续稳坐榜首位置。

参考方向：墨尔本城胜



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  		惠灵顿凤凰
【有利】
1、进攻：进攻是惠灵顿凤凰的一大优势，本赛季已打入17球位列联赛第2名，丝毫不差于墨尔本城；
2、阵容：球队近期无遭遇重大伤病，本场比赛能全员出战；
3、反击：球队在主场作战时，下半场往往能展开猛烈攻势，如果对手不能顶住压力则可能一波带走比赛；
4、战意：目前积11分排在中段位置，与前后几支球队积分十分胶着，本场若能取胜则有望一举冲进前四，战意不缺。
【不利】
1、防守：防守是球队的一大问题，球队往往能先开记录，但已多次被对手扳平甚至反超比分，守不住胜果；
2、主场：本赛季主场战绩为2胜3平1负，主场胜率不高；
3、战绩：联赛战罢9轮，得到2胜5平2负的战绩，多次被对手逆转，对球队士气有不少的影响。

墨尔本城
【有利】
1、交锋：双方近5次历史交锋，墨尔本城以3胜2平保持不败金身，心理层面占据优势；
2、状态：本赛季以6胜1平1负的战绩暂居联赛头名，状态非常出色；
3、防守：本赛季9场联赛共失6球，场均失球仅0.75，防守能力相当显著。
【不利】
1、走势：近5场赛事只有2场成功打出数据，走势表现比较一般。



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  		澳甲精选：主客表现分明 阿德莱德联赢球无难度

推荐分析
阿德莱德联本赛季的整体表现比较飘忽，上一轮在主场以0-1输给了纽卡斯尔联后遭遇到了两连败，近三轮联赛连续不胜，状态十分糟糕。不过可以肯定的是，球队的主场表现还算是比较稳定，新赛季3个主场赢下了其中两场，延续了上赛季主场的胜率，只是近期连续失球会破坏防守稳定性，这场比赛很难保证大门不失。

珀斯光荣上一仗在主场以1-1战平了惠灵顿凤凰，整个赛季至今只拿到了第7个积分，表现十分惨淡。而且珀斯光荣并不擅长客场作战，本赛季6个客场输掉了其中的5场，唯一的胜仗对手还是实力偏弱的中部海岸海员，含金量严重不足，这场比赛相信大概率也会是挨打的状态居多。

数据方面初开给出了-0.75的位置，后续主队奖金还有持续下调的趋势，给予主队的支撑力还是比较足够的，按照两队的交锋情况而言，阿德莱德联是值得支持的，整体走势也是偏向正路，个人认为阿德莱德联这场比赛赢球相信难度不会太大。

赛事方向：阿德莱德联



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Mono is King 02-Jan 2023 Monday 1:00 AM (692 days ago)            #43
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  		阿德莱德联
【有利】
1、交锋：近3次与对方交手悉数取胜，心理优势巨大；
2、主场：新赛季3个主场赢下了其中两场，主战表现尚可；
3、球员：古德温已经有4个联赛进球斩获，目前是队内头号射手；
4、顺风：本赛季先进球的5场联赛最终未尝一败；
【不利】
1、防守：最近连续三场比赛均有失球出现，防守端稳定性欠佳；
2、韧性：本赛季4场先失球的联赛最终未尝胜绩，韧性极差；

珀斯光荣
【有利】
1、球员：亚伦·麦克尼夫已经有2球入账，目前是队内头号得分手；
2、大小：8轮联赛过后有5次打出大比分的记录，踢法相当奔放；
【不利】
1、防守：新赛季8场联赛均有失球出现，防守稳定性相当糟糕；
2、客场：新赛季6个客场输足5次，客战能力低下；
3、半场：本赛季联赛只有过1次赢得半场的记录；
4、韧性：本赛季先失球的6场联赛最终输足5场，韧性非常差；



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